Explanatory notes:
Strong southwest monsoon conditions throughout the forecast period with tropical weather systems in the Western Pacific and the South China Sea under a strong MJO wet phase.
On Tuesday and Wednesday monsoonal gusty showers,rain and thunderstorms with significant rainfall accumulations possible which could lead to flooding due to strong monsoon conditions with a strong low level jet and associated low level wind convergence with upper level divergence also.
Forecast gives more weightage to the ECMWF model than the GFS model.
The rest of Tuesday October 17:
Mostly cloudy.Ahigh(180%) chance of showers and rain.The chance of thunderstorms.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms.Winds south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h.
Chance of any rain:80%
Wednesday October 19:
23-27 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Monsoonal gusty showers,rain and thunderstorms.Significant rainfall accumulation possible.
Cloudy.A very high(100%) chance of showers,thunderstorms and rain.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms and rain.Significant rainfall accumulations possible which may lead to flooding.Winds south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h becoming west-southwesterly at 15-25 km/h during the day becoming south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h back at night.
Chance of any rain:100%
Thursday October 20:
23-27 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Monsoonal gusty showers,rain and thunderstorms.Significant rainfall accumulation possible.
Cloudy.A very high(100%) chance of showers,thunderstorms and rain.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms and rain.Significant rainfall accumulations possible which may lead to flooding.Winds south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h becoming west-southwesterly at 15-25 km/h during the day becoming south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h back at night.
Chance of any rain:100%
Friday October 21:
23-31 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Gusty showers and thunderstorms.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(90%) chance of showers and thunderstorms.Significant falls possible.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms.Light winds becoming southwesterly at 20-30 km/h from mid morning becoming light from afternoon.
Chance of any rain:90%
Saturday October 22:
24-32 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Gusty showers.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A high(80%) chance of showers.The chance of thunderstorms.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms.Light winds becoming southwesterly at 15-25 km/h from mid morning becoming light from afternoon.
Chance of any rain:80%
Sunday October 23:
Sunday October 23: