Explanatory notes:
Strong southwest monsoon conditions until early next week with tropical weather systems in the Western Pacific and the South China Sea under a strong MJO wet phase.Monsoonal gusty showers,rain and thunderstorms with significant rainfall accumulations possible which could lead to flooding due to strong monsoon conditions with a strong low level jet and associated low level wind convergence with upper level divergence also.
Forecast gives more weightage to the ECMWF model than the GFS model.
The rest of Friday October 21:
Mostly cloudy.A high(80%) chance of showers and rain.The chance of thunderstorms.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms.Winds south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h.
Chance of any rain:80%
23-29 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Gusty showers and thunderstorms.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(100%) chance of showers and thunderstorms.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms.Light winds becoming southwesterly at 20-30 km/h from mid morning becoming light from afternoon.
Chance of any rain:100%
Sunday October 23:
23-30 Degrees Celsius
Precis forecast:Gusty showers and thunderstorms.
Partly to mostly cloudy.A very high(90%) chance of showers and thunderstorms.Gusty winds possible with showers and thunderstorms.Light winds becoming southwesterly at 20-30 km/h from mid morning becoming light from afternoon.
Chance of any rain:90%